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US drought reducing crop harvest, raising global food security concerns

On August 20, 2012,

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US drought reducing crop harvest, raising global food security concerns

US drought reducing crop harvest, raising global food security concerns

By David Lewis

The worst US drought in over fifty years has caused a fall in crop harvests and a rise in food prices, raising food security concerns for developing countries. The US Department of Agriculture has reported that nearly 62 percent of the US is experiencing drought conditions, with 85 percent of the corn crop falling within this area. As the largest exporter of agro-commodities, a shortfall in the US harvest will likely force food retailers around the world to increase prices for consumers.

Corn and soybean crops, both of which are important components of livestock feed, have been particularly hard hit. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) estimates that corn prices have risen 23 percent in July 2012 alone, largely as a result of depressed US crop yields. Moreover, the shortfall has prompted calls for a temporary suspension of the Renewable Fuel Standard, which diverts approximately 40 percent of the US corn crop for use as ethanol biofuel. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Agri-business, North America, Sectors, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Arab Spring • Crop yield • Democratic Republic of Congo • Drought • Energy Policy Act of 2005 • Food and Agriculture Organization • Food security • United States
 

Turkmenistan landslide election ‘victory’ underlines complicity risks

On February 13, 2012,

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The President of Turkmenistan, Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov, was today celebrating his latest landslide election victory, after winning re-election with 97 percent of the votes cast in the Central Asian state.

Berdymukhamedov, absolute ruler of a country that possesses the world’s fourth-largest natural gas reserves, had faced minimal opposition from his seven rival candidates, all of whom had all praised his leadership in the run up to the vote.

“This speaks of the nation’s cohesion,” said Orazmurad Niyazlyev, chairman of the election commission.

The Organisation for Security and Co-Operation in Europe (OSCE) had, however, had pointedly declined to even send election monitors to Turkmenistan, saying  that the government’s extreme intolerance for any form of criticism and dissent meant that they would be unable to do their jobs.

Turkmenistan’s latest electoral farce is a reminder that oil and gas firms working in the country, as well as in other Central Asian states such as Uzbekistan, face considerable challenges.

Most obviously they face reputational challenges arising from having (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Elections, Emerging markets, Enterprise risk, ESG (Ethical, social and governance), Eurasia, Human rights, Mining, Oil and gas, Political risk, Reputational risk, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Arab Spring • Election monitoring • List of landslide victories • Maplecroft • Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe • Turkmenistan • Uzbekistan
 

Stormclouds gather over Arab Spring

On February 3, 2012,

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Maplecroft's Water Stress Index 2011: The Middle East's problems are not only political

By James Brandon

The last few days have seen a fresh surge in violence in many ‘Arab Spring’ countries, raising new questons over the emerging direction of the ‘new’ Middle East.

In Egypt, almost 80 people were killed two days ago when political violence broke out at football match. Clashes between police and various groups are still continuing around the country, with five more people killed in Suez today. Separately, two female American tourists were briefly seized by armed gunmen in Sinai.

In Libya, new crimes apparently committed by country’s powerful militias continue to emerge.  Human Rights Watch today reported that man who had served as a senior Libyan diplomat  under Gaddafi had been tortured to death by a Tripoli militia after being taken into custody in mid-January. Yesterday other militias fought a pitched battle in the capital as they struggled for control of an army barracks.

In Syria, violence also continues with both the regime and opposition forces apparently targetting civilians and non-combatants. Earlier today, Human Rights Watch alleged that Syrian government forces were routinely detaining and tortuing children as young as thirteen. Separately, Sunni-led opposition forces are believed to have kidnapped a number of Iranian Shia pilgrims in the country’s east, leading Iran to urge pilgrims to avoid travelling to Syria by road. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Agri-business, Chemicals, manufacturing and retail, Construction, Elections, Emerging markets, Enterprise risk, Financial services, Healthcare, ICT and engineering, Middle East and North Africa, Mining, Oil and gas, Political risk, Reputational risk, Supply chain risk, Sustainability, Transportation and logistics, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Arab Spring • Egypt • James Brandon • Libya • Middle East • Syria • Tahrir Square • Tunisia
 

Maplecroft briefing: May elections to be key test for Algeria in 2012

On January 6, 2012,

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To date, the government of gas-rich Algeria has largely ridden out the Arab Spring which has toppled other authoritarian governments across the region.

As today’s Maplecroft briefing shows, after the fall of Mubarak in Egypt, Algeria’s secular but authoritarian rulers quickly accelerated political and economic reforms to head off simmering youth dissent.

In particular, new measures were enacted to tackle poor housing, youth unemployment and to improve social welfare provision.

So far, these steps seem to have worked. Algeria today is largely peaceful.

Questions remain, however, about how whether these new measures can be sustained indefinitely or if they have only succeeded in buying more time for Algeria’s aging military leadership.

(more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Chemicals, manufacturing and retail, Construction, Economics, Elections, Emerging markets, Enterprise risk, Financial services, Human rights, ICT and engineering, Middle East and North Africa, Mining, Oil and gas, Political risk, Transportation and logistics, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Africa • Algeria • Arab Spring • Egypt • Government • Islamism • Islamists • May
 
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