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Suu Kyi and the generals: One step closer to power sharing

On March 18, 2013,

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Suu Kyi and the generals: One step closer to power sharing

Source: Utenriksdept via Flickr

By Arvind Ramakrishnan

Proposals to change the Myanmar constitution have followed what are likely to have been intense negotiations and compromise agreements between the military and Aung San Suu Kyi. Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy (NLD) is increasingly set on the path of reconciling with the military, or at least working in conjunction with it, in order to gain greater power in parliament. The last time the constitution was significantly amended was in 2010, which preceded the military’s concrete steps to relinquish power. The amendments reserved 25% of all parliamentary seats for the military.

Strengthening reformist forces

The proposals strongly indicate that reformist forces have gained the upper hand in Myanmar, with the backing of the still-powerful military. The new constitution will still very likely see a quarter of all parliamentary seats reserved for the military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP). However, the ban on Myanmar citizens with foreign spouses or children becoming presidential candidates will almost certainly end. This will directly benefit Suu Kyi, who has been prevented from running from president because of the British citizenship of her late husband and their two sons. This will be the most workable agreement between the NLD and the army that is also likely to meet with the approval of the international (mainly Western) community. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Uncategorized, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Aung San Suu Kyi • constitution • military • Myanmar • NLD • USDP
 

Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook – Asia

On January 9, 2013,

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Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook – Asia

Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook – Asia

By Maplecroft’s Asia Practice

In the second part of Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook, we focus on the emerging economies of Asia and the key challenges affecting the investment climate for foreign investors.

Bangladesh:

High levels of societal unrest, manifesting in regular demonstrations involving tens of thousands of people – including mass strikes and protests targeting the government – will continue in 2013, creating the potential for significant disruption to business operations. The inevitable increase in tensions in association with the general election, scheduled to be held in late 2013, will almost certainly increase political instability.

Much-needed foreign investment in Bangladesh continues to be deterred by a number of structural weaknesses which present significant operational and reputational risks for businesses. These include the constraints posed by the country’s chronic energy shortages, very high rates of labour rights violations, low wages and exceptionally poor health and safety provisions (as illustrated by the November 2012 factory fire in Dhaka, which left more than 100 people dead). (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Asia Pacific, Economics, Issues, Political risk, Regions, South Asia, South-East Asia, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Asia • Aung San Suu Kyi • Burma • China • India • Indonesia • Myanmar • Politcal Risk • Red Corridor
 

UN calls for investigation into alleged human rights abuses in restive Rakhine state

On August 1, 2012,

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UN calls for investigation into alleged human rights abuses in restive Rakhine state

UN calls for investigation into alleged human rights abuses in restive Rakhine state

By Giulia Zino

On 28 July 2012, the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Navanethem Pillay, called for an independent investigation into reported human rights violations perpetrated by state security forces in Myanmar’s Rakhine state, during the latest wave of sectarian violence which began in May. UN observers claim security forces purposely targeted members of the Muslim minority instead of quelling unrest – allegations the government in Naypyidaw strongly denies. Several human rights organisations, including Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch, have documented systematic abuses committed by security forces in Rakhine in May and June 2012, while earlier in June, the EU had praised the handling of the crisis by state security forces as ‘measured’ and ‘appropriate’. The UN’s Special Rapporteur for Human Rights, Tomas Ojea Quintana, arrived in Rakhine’s capital Sittwe on 31 July for a fact-finding mission but has yet to make any public comment on his trip. It is likely that Quintana also held talks with authorities regarding the status of five UN workers still under detention for ‘questioning’ in the country. Another five international workers from Doctors Without Borders are also still held in connection with the unrest. They are broadly accused of inciting violence although charges against them have yet to be formalised (the government has turned down requests by the UN to explain why they were arrested).
(more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Human rights, Issues, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Aung San Suu Kyi • Bangladesh • Human rights • Myanmar • Navanethem Pillay • Rakhine • Rakhine State • Rohingya • Rohingya people
 

Myanmar analysis: Aung San Suu Kyi on the importance of the rule of law and responsible investment

On June 22, 2012,

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Myanmar leaders hope international investment will allow Myanmar to rapidly develop.

By Tim Williams

Myanmar opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi emphasised the need for greater rule of law  in Myanmar at a roundtable discussion hosted by the Burma Justice Committee and the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) on 19 June 2012.

At the event Suu Kyi emphasised the importance of rule of law in attaining national reconciliation in the country whose nominally civilian government only embarked on wide reforms in 2011, moving away from the military dictatorships which had ruled the country since 1962.

Furthermore, she said that only through rule of law would it be possible to solve the numerous ethnic conflicts in the country and to address the issue of statelessness underlying recent violence in Rakhine State.

Without the rule of law and the implementation of procedures which can guarantee justice, democracy and viable reforms will remain elusive, she explained. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Agri-business, Asia Pacific, Economics, Elections, Financial services, ICT and engineering, Labour standards, Legal and regulatory, Mining, Oil and gas, Political risk, Reputational risk, Sustainability, Transportation and logistics, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Asia • Aung San Suu Kyi • Burma • ethical investing • London School of Economics • Myanmar • politics • Rakhine State • reform • responsible investing • Suu Kyi • Tim Williams
 

Analysis: As US eases Myanmar sanctions, what are the implications for business?

On May 18, 2012,

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Myanmar's closed society is suddenly opening up to foreign business and investors

During 2011 and early 2012, Myanmar’s army-backed civilian government has embarked on a number of important political and economic reforms that promise to open up resource-rich Myanmar to foreign investment.

Western governments have responded to these reforms by gradually reversing the country’s diplomatic isolation and sanctions.

Yesterday, 17 May 2012, marked another important step in this rehabilitation process as the US followed the European lead, lifting some economic sanctions, having previously eased some diplomatic sanctions and allowed limited technical assistance from international financial institutions in February 2012.

The EU had already temporarily suspended all economic and diplomatic sanctions on 23 April. These moves have further paved the way for international businesses to return to the country. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Agri-business, Chemicals, manufacturing and retail, Construction, Emerging markets, ESG (Ethical, social and governance), Financial services, Healthcare, Human rights, ICT and engineering, Labour standards, Legal and regulatory, Mapping, Mining, Oil and gas, Political risk, Reputational risk, South-East Asia, Sustainability, Transportation and logistics, Uncategorized, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Aung San Suu Kyi • Burma • Business • European Union • Investment • investors • Kachin Independence Army • London • money • Myanmar • opportunity • profit • Risk • United States • wealth • Wunna Maung Lwin
 

Maplecroft’s latest ‘Ethical Insight’ briefing highlights Aung San Suu Kyi calls for investment

On January 18, 2012,

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For over 20 years, Aung San Suu Kyi, the often-imprisoned leader of Myanmar’s pro-democracy movement, has been the public face of opposition to the country’s military junta.

On 5th January, however, she made waves by calling for ‘good investments’ by foreign companies in Myanmar, even as anti-regime NGO’s such as the UK-based Burma campaign continued to argue against any ‘pre-mature’ lifting of sanctions until political reform is complete.

This week’s edition of  ‘Ethical Insight’, Maplecroft’s fortnightly review of corporate responsibility news and analysis, looks at Suu Kyi’s appeal for responsible foreign investment and puts it in context of recent events in Myanmar.

It also examines the challenges that foreign business and investors, long-spooked by the country’s poor international reputation and opaque business climate, could face in entering the country as it continues to open up to foreign investment.

(more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Agri-business, Chemicals, manufacturing and retail, Climate change and environmental, Construction, Corruption, Economics, Elections, Emerging markets, Enterprise risk, ESG (Ethical, social and governance), Financial services, Healthcare, Human rights, ICT and engineering, Labour standards, Legal and regulatory, Mining, Oil and gas, Political risk, Reputational risk, South-East Asia, Supply chain risk, Sustainability, Transportation and logistics, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Aung San Suu Kyi • Burma • Government • Human rights • Irrawaddy River • Myanmar • Thailand
 
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