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Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook – Asia

On January 9, 2013,

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Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook – Asia

Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook – Asia

By Maplecroft’s Asia Practice

In the second part of Maplecroft’s 2013 global outlook, we focus on the emerging economies of Asia and the key challenges affecting the investment climate for foreign investors.

Bangladesh:

High levels of societal unrest, manifesting in regular demonstrations involving tens of thousands of people – including mass strikes and protests targeting the government – will continue in 2013, creating the potential for significant disruption to business operations. The inevitable increase in tensions in association with the general election, scheduled to be held in late 2013, will almost certainly increase political instability.

Much-needed foreign investment in Bangladesh continues to be deterred by a number of structural weaknesses which present significant operational and reputational risks for businesses. These include the constraints posed by the country’s chronic energy shortages, very high rates of labour rights violations, low wages and exceptionally poor health and safety provisions (as illustrated by the November 2012 factory fire in Dhaka, which left more than 100 people dead). (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Asia Pacific, Economics, Issues, Political risk, Regions, South Asia, South-East Asia, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Asia • Aung San Suu Kyi • Burma • China • India • Indonesia • Myanmar • Politcal Risk • Red Corridor
 

Indonesian mineral export tax highlights resource nationalism risks

On April 5, 2012,

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Mining firms in Indonesia are facing growing risks of resource nationalism

In a further signal to the extractives sector of the growing burden of government intervention on foreign investment in Indonesia, the Industry Ministry on 3 April 2012 revealedplans for a tax on the export of coal and base metals.Anshari Bukhari, Secretary General of the Industry Ministry, said the tax is intended to curb overexploitation of Indonesia’s natural resources and encouraging downstream investment.

It remains unclear how firm a government policy this is, as it is yet to be confirmed by the Ministry of Mines or other government sources; however, Bukhari suggested an export tax of 25% could be introduced later this year, to rise to 50% in 2013. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Emerging markets, ESG (Ethical, social and governance), Mining, Political risk, South-East Asia, Uncategorized, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Asia • Indonesia • Investment • Maplecroft • Mining • Ministry of Mines • Philippines • Starr Family Home State Historic Site
 

Indonesia regains investment grade status but reputational risks remain

On January 20, 2012,

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Indonesia reached a key economic milestone this week when Moody’s Investor Services, a key global credit rating agency, restored the country to ‘investment grade’ status.

Last month, Fitch’s Ratings similarly raised Indonesia to investment grade. Indonesia has been rated at ‘junk’ level since the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis.

The upwards ratings shift are only the latest good news for Indonesia.

Just yesterday, the Indonesian government announced the country had recieved $19.3bn of foreign investment during 2011. This represents an 18 percent increase on the previous year.

The government has said Indonesia is expected to see GDP growth of over 6 percent during 2012.

But while Indonesia, with its abundant natural resources and its educated and urbanising population, is of increasing interest to investors, it remains challenging: It has poor infrastructure, a still developing democracy, and corruption, property rights and corporate governance complicate even basic commerical transactions.

(more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Agri-business, Asia Pacific, Chemicals, manufacturing and retail, Climate change and environmental, Construction, Corruption, Economics, Emerging markets, Financial services, Healthcare, Human rights, ICT and engineering, Labour standards, Legal and regulatory, Mining, Oil and gas, Political risk, Reputational risk, South-East Asia, Supply chain risk, Sustainability, Transportation and logistics, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: 1997 Asian financial crisis • Aceh • China • Economic growth • Fitch • Indonesia • Jakarta • Standard & Poor • United States • West Papua
 
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