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Analysis: The impact of growing food shortages in Syria

On May 16, 2012,

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The conflict in Syria has disrupted food imports, key supply chains and the Syrian government's ability to purchase commodities from abroad.

As the conflict between the Syrian government and opposition forces continues, food insecurity is emerging as an increasingly challenge for the regime, and to international actors seeking to limit the humanitarian impact of the fighting.

In early May, the UN’s World Food Programme said that of Syria’s 23m people, at least 1.5m were in need of food, water and or shelter. The WFP at the time said it aimed to deliver food aid to half a million people in subsequent weeks. However this would still potentially leave hundreds of thousands without humanitarian assistance unless deliveries could be boosted further. 

There are several reasons for the recent food shortages. The Syrian economy and many relevant supply chains have been disrupted by the ongoing conflict. At the same time, Syria government finances are under pressure, which is contributing to shortages of state-subsidised foodstuffs, further exacerbating shortages.

(more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Agri-business, Climate change and environmental, Economics, Emerging markets, Middle East and North Africa, Oil and gas, Political risk, Transportation and logistics, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Bashar al-Assad • commodities • continuity • Damascus • food • forecasts • future • hunger • Politics of Syria • Risk • supply chains • Syria • Syrian government • Syrian people • Turkey • United Nations • World Food Programme
 

Nigeria: Behind the negative headlines, many opportunities for the brave investor

On February 8, 2012,

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Population density map 2012 (Source: Landscan, 2009)

By James Smither

Nigeria has not had an auspicious start to 2012. In addition to an at-times combustible general strike over the removal of fuel subsidies in January, a series of increasingly violent and frequent terrorist attacks linked to the Islamist Boko Haram group have also rocked cities across the north and centre of the country.

Combined with the social and security risks that impede oil production in the Delta region, entrenched public sector corruption and the country’s battles with its power supply, it’s easy to see why the country may not seem an obvious investment destination.

And yet, both many established global brands and emerging Asian giants continue to regard Nigeria as indispensable component of their emerging markets profile. Setting the oil and gas sector to one side, the country’s multinational champions putting money, jobs and facilities where their mouths are include Diageo and Coca-Cola, GSK and Lafarge, Nestlé and KFC, Mango and Wal-Mart, Toyota and Tata.

Clearly, for all the dirty bath-water associated with the country, there also remains a Nigerian baby whose potential has already captured the attention of many and whom investors may be well-advised not to eject too hastily.

What then, are the key drivers of such positive investor sentiment?

(more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Uncategorized, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Africa • African Development Bank • Boko Haram • Coca-Cola • forecast • Growth • Investment • James Smither • KFC • Lagos • Nigeria • Population • United Nations
 
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