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Growing political risk in Argentina hinders attempts to attract investment

On August 22, 2012,

0
Growing political risk in Argentina hinders attempts to attract investment

Growing political risk in Argentina hinders attempts to attract investment

By Irenea Renuncio

The Argentine government’s decision on 9 August to increase natural gas wellhead prices by 300% has gone mostly unnoticed by investors, who are increasingly worried about the country’s growing political risk. The business environment continues to deteriorate amid growing policy unpredictability and resource nationalism, which is further enhanced by the new Hydrocarbon Sovereignty Decree.

Increase of gas prices unlikely to calm investors

President Fernandez is trying to attract investment in the energy sector amidst growing concerns over the industry’s exposure to government intervention, which was marked by the April nationalisation of Repsol’s YPF shares. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Issues, Latin America, Political risk, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Argentina • CNOOC Limited • Energy industry • Fernandez • Petróleos de Venezuela • Repsol YPF • Venezuela • YPF
 

Is there a rise in resource nationalism in Latin America?

On May 2, 2012,

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Bolivia's left-wing president, Evo Morales, has struggled to balance encouraging foreign investment with maintaining support from his voter base.

By Arthur Dhont

On 1 May, Bolivian President Evo Morales announced the nationalisation of Transportadores de Electricidad (TDE), a subsidiary of Spain’s Red Electrica Española, during his annual Workers’ Day speech.

Although a number of media outlets have already started to compare the TDE nationalisation with that of YPF in Argentina on 16 April , the two incidents are not linked and do not necessarily point to an increased risk of resource nationalism across the region as a whole.

Resource nationalism has certainly become increasingly visible amongst a number of leftist-governed Latin American countries, including not only Bolivia but also Argentina, Ecuador and Venezuela.

On the other hand, however, the risk of expropriation remains low in other key countries in the region such as Chile, Colombia or Mexico. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Uncategorized, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Argentina • Bolivia • Evo Morales • Latin America • Nationalization • Permanent Court of Arbitration • YPF • YPFB
 

Analysis: The likely impact of Argentina’s expropriation of YPF

On April 17, 2012,

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Argentina's move against YPF is partly driven by a desire for self-sufficiency in oil and gas

By Irenea Renuncio

After weeks of speculation, on 16 April Argentina’s President Cristina Fernández announced in a televised speech a bill to expropriate 51% of Repsol’s YPF shares. The bill, which is likely to be swiftly passed by the country’s Congress, caused great concern in Spain, where the Spanish multinational is headquartered.

Repsol had acquired YPF in 1993 and had subsequently operated its subsidiary with the blessing of Fernández and her late husband, former President Néstor Kirchner (2003-2007). However, relations between the government and the company had deteriorated in recent years, especially as oil and gas production declined as a result of dwindling investment. (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Corruption, Economics, Elections, Emerging markets, Enterprise risk, ESG (Ethical, social and governance), Latin America, Legal and regulatory, Oil and gas, Political risk, Uncategorized, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Argentina • Cristina Fernández de Kirchner • gas • Investment • Néstor Kirchner • oil • Repsol • Repsol YPF • Risk • Spain • World Bank • YPF
 

Government interference in South American oil underlines risks to investors

On April 4, 2012,

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International oil firms operating off Brazil are suddenly finding themselves under close government scrutiny

In South America, two confrontations between foreign oil firms and the governments of Brazil and Argentina should serve as stark reminders for investors of the continuing challenges of operating in the continent.

In Brazil, prosecutors are attempting to ban two oil firms – US-based Chevron and Swiss-based Transocean Ltd, its contracted drill-rig operator – from working in the country. Bloomberg News reported that prosecutor Gisele Porto had asked that “the two companies must be suspended from operating until they stop environmental damage from the November leak off the coast of Rio de Janeiro.” (more…)


If you would like to comment on this article, request further in-depth analysis, or contact the analyst for media comment please contact: blog@maplecroft.com

in Enterprise risk, ESG (Ethical, social and governance), Latin America, Legal and regulatory, Oil and gas, Political risk, Uncategorized, by Jason McGeown
Tagged with: Argentina • Brazil • Campos Basin • Chevron • Chevron Corporation • Chubut Province • oil; gas • Rio de Janeiro • South America • Transocean • YPF
 
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